Developing a generic biosecurity risk assessment model for imports
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.30843/nzpp.2016.69.5890Abstract
Developing decision support models to evaluate biosecurity risks objectively helps decision makers manage the associated risks with importation of goods We report on the development of a prototype generic risk assessment model to determine the probability and consequences of a plant pest establishment and spread event for an infection point given the biosecurity risk organism arrives via various pathways The model has a number of submodels including entry pathway which models the ratio of infested units coming from any pathway supplying the infection point; establishment and spread which models the chance of an establishment and spread event occuring at an infection point; and consequences which models the consequences of any establishment or spread event occurring at the site Future research is planned to develop a generic input interface to generate a support tool to allow a user to investigate the impacts of alternative whatif scenarios and to test the model on realworld plant pest inputsDownloads
Published
2016-01-08
How to Cite
Jamieson, L.E., O. Woodberry, C.M. McDonald, and M. Ormsby. “Developing a Generic Biosecurity Risk Assessment Model for Imports”. New Zealand Plant Protection 69 (January 8, 2016): 186–199. Accessed February 8, 2023. https://journal.nzpps.org/index.php/nzpp/article/view/5890.
Issue
Section
Papers